Return to Blog #8C: FBI Kavanaugh conclusion: falsified by Grassley or false
- There is corroboration of almost all of Dr. Ford’s story
- One way or the other, the Executive Summary reflects FBI malfeasance
- Both the FBI and Senator Grassley’s committee were necessarily at fault
- The FBI malfeasance would be foundational if it relates to the conduct of its investigation or its communication of the conclusion
- What would the motivation have been for a dishonest investigation or a dishonest communication of the FBI’s conclusion? What’s the impact?
- Manipulation of the FBI to facilitate rejecting victims’ allegations is part of the Republicans’ systematic approach
- This moment represents a singular opportunity to address the misogyny underlying the false or falsified FBI conclusion
- How did we get to this point in the discussion?
- Blog #8C
- Dr. Ford recalled seven details confirmed by Kavanaugh’s 07/01/82 calendar entry
- There is no credibility issue relating to the details Dr. Ford’s recalls
- Dr. Ford was undoubtedly at the July 1, 1982, house-party
- Common-sense proof #2 revisited
- Dr. Ford had no particular connection to any of the boys she named
- The probability that Dr. Ford was at the house-party substantially exceeds 99%
- The probability of Ford randomly naming the three boys is much less than 1%
- Sophisticated observers would have intuitively reached the same conclusion without needing to do the calculation
- Dr. Ford had no ulterior motivation for naming any of the boys she identified
- Even if Dr. Ford had a non-random reason to select a particular boy, that wouldn’t change the conclusion
- Common sense-proof #1 revisited
- The details Dr. Ford recalled were stated in her testimony
- Kavanaugh’s calendar entry was a focal point of his testimony
- Senator Whitehouse brought special attention to the July 1, 1982 calendar entry
- No observer could have avoided being aware of the possible significance of the July 1, 1982 calendar entry
- The July 1 house-party is the only event in Kavanaugh’s calendar that materially fit Ford’s description
- Common-sense proof # 1 has only two parts, and the first part is already complete
- Proof part one, and Senator Collins version of events:
- Proof part two:
- Every observer should have understood part two of the proof
- The statistical proof that Dr. Ford was at the July 1, 1982, house-party
- The probability that Dr. Ford was not present at the house-party is effectively 0%
- An honestly conducted FBI investigation would not have supported the conclusion that “there is no corroboration” of Dr. Ford’s allegation
- Any miscommunication of the FBI’s conclusion would be equally problematic
- There is a second reason the stated conclusion of the Executive Summary does not reflect an honest investigation
- No competent investigator could have missed Kavanaugh’s 1982 admission of guilt
- Kavanaugh’s omission of Ford disposes of the mistaken identity theory
- Senator Grassley explained certain limitations on the FBI’s ability to express the results of its investigation
- The policy highlighted by Senator Grassley cannot explain or justify a false communication
- Looking forward
OPIFACTION 